Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 13.396257 15.680356 18.173688 21.089351 24.396777 28.023329 32.291691
2025-03-09 9.311002 12.351636 16.025580 20.750964 26.622568 33.630605 42.574874
2025-03-16 6.536441 9.640339 13.721206 19.389601 26.955340 36.590640 49.655187
2025-03-23 5.387475 8.663177 13.272233 20.072611 29.661567 42.484151 60.665408
2025-03-30 4.632532 8.036949 13.117324 21.007994 32.656664 48.871232 72.711139
2025-04-06 3.723301 6.974168 12.118352 20.520195 33.484241 52.231124 80.749092
2025-04-13 2.911300 5.891097 10.889544 19.464794 33.271757 53.973809 86.489407
2025-04-20 2.639408 5.677921 11.013029 20.519569 36.329767 60.689926 99.873521
2025-04-27 2.454809 5.584681 11.312162 21.869741 39.937853 68.449048 115.269139
2025-05-04 2.160382 5.220328 11.072383 22.251965 41.964401 73.846797 127.327325
2025-05-11 1.852513 4.765485 10.594616 22.141208 43.119613 77.891302 137.454125
2025-05-18 1.558452 4.277418 9.976632 21.686951 43.609381 80.838899 145.940796
2025-05-25 1.309483 3.855174 9.462536 21.438050 44.568260 84.847507 156.789270
2025-06-01 1.098490 3.477166 8.988744 21.226637 45.609945 89.135636 168.503550
2025-06-08 0.844284 2.916294 8.014671 19.861926 44.329705 89.260264 173.139230
2025-06-15 0.761641 2.798912 8.027142 20.563677 47.097308 96.763663 190.960351
2025-06-22 0.702438 2.733866 8.152053 21.519451 50.441963 105.514033 211.439861
2025-06-29 0.580376 2.439521 7.657988 21.021644 50.774002 108.687386 222.097690
2025-07-06 0.455977 2.092680 6.958297 19.944138 49.775201 109.248248 227.994533
2025-07-13 0.429647 2.078783 7.151215 21.021042 53.467694 119.054355 251.472887
2025-07-20 0.414612 2.102765 7.453791 22.399296 57.920422 130.585407 278.711108
2025-07-27 0.369905 1.997915 7.367825 22.789424 60.205828 137.942976 298.385060
2025-08-03 0.317403 1.841792 7.100113 22.676379 61.338231 143.039872 313.963034